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Referendum and Ceasefire Challenges
Moscow has so far shown no willingness to agree to a temporary truce without a full settlement in place, complicating the path toward public approval of any deal.
Conclusion
The US offer of 15-year security guarantees marks a significant step in the ongoing peace effort, but major obstacles remain. Ukraine is pushing for longer term assurances, while unresolved military, territorial, and political questions continue to cloud prospects for a durable settlement.