As uncertainty grows, people have begun asking more concrete, uncomfortable questions. Not just whether a global conflict could happen, but what it would look like if it did. That shift from abstract fear to specific scenarios is telling. It reflects a deeper loss of confidence in the systems meant to prevent escalation.
Into that discussion stepped nuclear historian Alex Wellerstein of the Stevens Institute of Technology. Speaking publicly in 2025, Wellerstein explained that in the event of a nuclear conflict, targets would be selected based on strategic goals rather than symbolism alone. The first strikes, he noted, would likely focus on disabling an opponent’s ability to respond.
