ADVERTISEMENT
Yet the same uncertainty that deters can also destabilize. Iranian planners, facing Marines, strike aircraft, and warships near Kharg Island and the Strait of Hormuz, must assume the worst. A misread radar return or a panicked response to a perceived provocation could spiral into open conflict in a corridor that carries a fifth of the world’s oil. For now, the ships steam, the Marines drill, and global markets hold their breath, suspended between deterrence and disaster.